NBA

Cavaliers vs Wizards

Heavy-favorite Cavs eye a Capital conquest.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cavaliers (5-3) VS Wizards (1-7)

Nov 07, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.

Washington Wizards
Moneyline Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers (-900): B-

Cleveland’s experience and balance make it the clear favorite in this matchup, even with minor injury concerns to key starters. The Cavaliers’ recent uptick has stemmed from defensive control and Mitchell’s steady scoring, both of which should hold firm against a short-handed Washington side that’s struggled to generate consistent offense. The Wizards’ six-game skid and lack of depth following Coulibaly’s absence leave them vulnerable to extended scoring droughts, particularly against Cleveland’s top-tier half-court defense. This prediction favors the Cavs to handle business comfortably, though the moneyline remains more a safety play than a value grab.

From a betting perspective, this pick prioritizes probability over payout. Cleveland’s veteran core, superior defensive metrics, and dominance in recent head-to-heads provide little reason to expect a letdown. While the price is steep, it reflects a justifiable gap in roster quality and form. The Cavs should control tempo and maintain separation throughout.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Over/Under Pick - Under 241.5 (-110): B+

Both teams enter with personnel and stylistic factors that favor a slower, lower-scoring game. Cleveland’s offense typically grinds possessions when Garland sits, leaning on Mitchell’s isolation play and inside touches that bleed clock. Washington’s recent shift toward half-court execution under its new scoring tandem has similarly trimmed pace, even as its defense remains inconsistent. With both lineups missing perimeter spacing due to injuries, shooting efficiency figures to dip, especially from deep. The matchup projects as methodical and possession-heavy, making the Under on an inflated total the sharper play.

From a betting standpoint, this pick rests on tempo and efficiency regression. The absence of reliable floor-spacers on each side should suppress three-point volume, and Cleveland’s defensive structure will force Washington into contested mid-range looks. Even moderate offensive spurts likely won’t sustain across four quarters. The Under aligns cleanly with roster context and current rhythm.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Spread Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers, -13.5 (-115): B

Cleveland’s interior strength and defensive balance make this a favorable matchup to extend separation. The Mobley–Allen pairing consistently tilts the rebounding and rim-protection battle, and against a Washington lineup lacking size and physicality, the paint should belong to the Cavs. Mitchell’s scoring reliability on the road provides a steady offensive anchor, while Cleveland’s depth and defensive rotations are built to suppress the Wizards’ half-court rhythm. With those structural advantages and recent head-to-head dominance, this prediction leans confidently toward the visitors covering a wide spread.

From a wagering perspective, this play prioritizes matchup disparity and late-game control. Cleveland’s disciplined defense and secondary scoring options give it the tools to maintain and build a lead, especially if Washington’s thin frontcourt falters under sustained pressure. Even with a hefty number, the Cavs’ ability to dictate tempo and control the glass justifies laying the 13.5.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

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