NBA

Cavaliers vs Knicks

Mitchell aims to silence Broadway’s early buzz.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cavaliers (0-0) VS Knicks (2-0)

Oct 22, 2025 | 7:00 p.m. ET | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

New York Knicks
Moneyline Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers (-118): B+

Cleveland enters this matchup with the kind of situational edge that often dictates early-season outcomes. The Cavaliers’ offensive structure remains reliable even without a full backcourt, anchored by efficient spacing and interior balance that should test a New York team missing key frontcourt and wing defenders. The Knicks’ early winning form has leaned heavily on shot variance and short rotations, which could struggle to hold against Cleveland’s more stable half-court execution. With a healthier core and recent success against this opponent, the Cavs carry measurable advantages in both shot quality and defensive versatility.

From a betting angle, the modest favorite price represents fair value given the matchup context. Cleveland’s mix of interior control and perimeter creation should expose New York’s thin rotation, while regression on the Knicks’ hot start feels plausible against a disciplined visitor. It’s a pick driven by matchup analytics rather than momentum, and the tighter line leaves room for solid return on the more complete side.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/22/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 228 (-110): B+

This matchup sets up as a slower-paced, defensive-minded contest shaped by personnel and coaching tendencies. New York’s frontcourt limitations remove many of its second-chance opportunities, while Cleveland’s size inside with Allen and Mobley often turns games into half-court slogs. The Cavaliers’ own lineup challenges—missing key perimeter creators—should further suppress tempo, forcing them to rely on structured sets rather than transition bursts. With both teams leaning into physical, possession-based basketball and each defense ranking well in paint efficiency, offensive rhythm figures to come at a premium.

From a betting perspective, the Under fits both the tactical profile and available data. The projected pace slowdown, reduced spacing from injuries, and the influence of two disciplined defensive units all point to a total shy of the market number. Unless one side shoots well above expectation from deep, this game should hover in the low-220s at best. It’s a methodical, fundamentals-backed play that prioritizes matchups over variance.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/22/2025 at 9:10am

Spread Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers, -1.5 (-107): B+

Cleveland’s balanced roster and interior presence position it well to handle a short-handed New York team. The Cavaliers’ defensive front has consistently neutralized drives and second-chance scoring, and that advantage becomes even more pronounced against a Knicks squad missing its primary rim protector. Offensively, Cleveland’s spacing and isolation creation remain dependable, particularly with a lead scorer capable of stretching defenses and forcing mismatches. The Knicks’ reliance on perimeter jumpers and limited depth up front tilt the overall matchup toward the visitors in both physicality and late-game execution.

From a betting standpoint, the -1.5 spread sits in a sweet spot supported by data and context. Cleveland’s defensive edge and proven scoring reliability in this matchup offset the absence of its secondary playmaker, while New York’s lineup uncertainty caps its offensive ceiling. The modest line offers value on a disciplined, better-structured unit likely to control pace and finish strong. It’s a confident yet measured pick on a favorite with clear matchup leverage.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/22/2025 at 9:11am

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