NBA

Cavaliers vs Mavericks

Cleveland’s firepower should rule the night, but Dallas may still sneak inside the number.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cavaliers (40-25) VS Mavericks (21-44)

March 13, 2026 | 8:30 PM ET | Dallas, Texas

Dallas Mavericks
Moneyline Pick - Cleveland Cavaliers (-741): B
Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers are massive moneyline favorites here, riding a strong overall run despite just dropping a tough one in Orlando, while Dallas only just snapped a brutal stretch with a road win in Memphis and still sits buried near the bottom of the West. With Jarrett Allen and Max Strus sidelined for Cleveland and Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II out for Dallas, the Cavs still have the far more stable core around Mitchell, Evan Mobley and James Harden, and they’ve already handled this Mavericks group comfortably in recent meetings, including a double-digit road win earlier this season. Add in Cleveland’s push for top-four seeding in the East against a Dallas team effectively playing out the string, and backing the Cavaliers on the moneyline is the only logical side, even if the price is steep; I’d grade this as a B given its high win probability but limited return. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/03/2026 09:49
Over/Under Pick - Over 236.5, (-108): B-
Cooper Flagg’s Mavericks have been living in shootouts all year, with their long losing skid fueled more by defensive leaks than by a lack of scoring, and now they host a Cleveland team that has been top-tier offensively but more vulnerable at the rim without Jarrett Allen. The Mavs are still missing Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II, while the Cavs will be without Max Strus and a couple of rotation pieces, which shifts usage toward high-volume scorers like Mitchell, Flagg, P.J. Washington and Khris Middleton and can shorten benches on both sides, often juicing pace and tired legs on defense. Recent history between these teams has tilted toward big numbers, with Cleveland topping 130 in multiple matchups, and with the Cavs chasing playoff positioning while Dallas plays freer as a long shot in the West, I lean to the Over 236.5, grading it a B- because the number is already inflated but still supported by offensive talent and defensive absences. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/03/2026 09:49
Spread Pick - Dallas Mavericks, +13 (-106): B-
Dallas’ young core has quietly kept competing through that long slide and finally got a much-needed win in Memphis, and catching +13 at home feels like a big number even against a Cleveland team that has dominated the season series and is pushing hard for Eastern Conference seeding. The Cavaliers’ injuries to Jarrett Allen and Max Strus thin out both their rim protection and spacing, while Dallas, though missing Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II, can still roll out multiple capable scorers and shooters in Flagg, Middleton, Klay Thompson and P.J. Washington to keep runs going in front of their own crowd. Given that Cleveland’s recent blowouts of Dallas are already baked into this aggressive spread and the Mavs’ motivation to show they’re not just a doormat despite their record and recent losing streak, I like Dallas +13 as a value side, but only enough for a B- with obvious blowout risk if Cleveland’s stars stay locked in for 48 minutes. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/03/2026 09:49
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