MLB

Reds vs Cardinals

Pennant hopes on life-support meet Busch Stadium pressure cooker

Cincinnati Reds

Reds (75-75) VS Cardinals (73-78)

Sep 17, 2025 | 1:15 PM ET | Busch Stadium, St. Louis

St. Louis Cardinals
Moneyline Pick - Cincinnati Reds (-120): B

Cincinnati enters with both momentum and a clear edge on the mound, as their starter’s strikeout surge directly targets one of the Cardinals’ biggest lineup weaknesses. The Reds have also already handled St. Louis’ lefty this year, providing confidence they can generate run support early. A rested bullpen strengthens their late-game outlook, while the Cardinals remain undermanned with multiple key contributors sidelined. With the playoff chase heightening urgency, the Reds carry both statistical and situational advantages into this divisional clash.

From a betting perspective, this pick leans toward Cincinnati on the moneyline as the stronger side. The prediction is that their starting-pitching dominance and healthier roster will prove decisive against a St. Louis team lacking stability. A bet on the Reds reflects value even as a short road favorite.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 17/09/2025 at 9:03am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (-110): B+

Both starters bring weapons that match up well against the opposition, setting the tone for a pitching-driven contest. Cincinnati’s flamethrower has been particularly tough to square up, while St. Louis’ lefty counterbalances by neutralizing some of the Reds’ key bats. With both bullpens performing at a high level this month, late scoring bursts look less likely, especially under early start conditions that traditionally dampen run output at Busch. Add in the pressure of playoff implications, and the conservative, low-scoring script becomes even more probable.

From a betting perspective, this pick favors the Under as the sharper side. The prediction is that quality starting pitching, bullpen strength, and run-suppressing situational factors will keep the total below expectations. A bet here aligns with statistical profiles and recent trends, making it the disciplined play.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 17/09/2025 at 9:04am

Spread Pick - St. Louis Cardinals, +1.5 (-170): B

St. Louis has made a habit of keeping games close, even when they end up on the wrong side of the scoreboard, and their defensive upgrades only strengthen that tendency. Cincinnati’s starter has the strikeout power to dominate, but bouts of wildness leave room for extra baserunners and potential late-inning stress. With the Cardinals’ bullpen regaining a veteran arm, they’re better positioned to contain damage and stretch this into another one-score outcome. Given Cincinnati’s uneven record in tight games, the cushion on the home side carries extra value.

From a betting perspective, this pick leans toward St. Louis with the +1.5 run line as the safer play. The prediction is that their defensive strength and ability to grind out close finishes give them a solid chance to cover, even if the Reds ultimately take the win. A bet here aligns with matchup dynamics and recent trends.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 17/09/2025 at 9:05am

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