Bears vs Raiders
When desperation meets the desert, one claw proves sharper.

CHI (1-2) VS LV (1-2)
Sep 28, 2025 | 4:25 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV


Chicago enters this matchup looking to rebound, and while results have been uneven, their offense has at least shown flashes of explosiveness. That contrasts with a Raiders attack that has struggled to sustain drives, especially with their passing game prone to mistakes and their run game lacking a true bell cow. Defensively, Chicago has upgraded in coverage and should be capable of limiting chunk plays, putting more pressure on Las Vegas to string together long possessions. With the game in a dome, conditions will favor offensive execution, but the Bears appear better suited to capitalize.
From a betting standpoint, Chicago offers the sharper pick in what profiles as a near coin-flip contest. Their quarterback’s mobility and ability to extend plays provide a ceiling the Raiders can’t match, and a defense that has taken a step forward helps balance the equation. When both sides are priced evenly, leaning toward the more dynamic offense makes sense, giving the Bears the edge as the stronger bet.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 09/28/2025 at 9:00am
This matchup profiles more like a grind than a shootout, as both teams have leaned conservative to protect their offensive lines. Chicago’s preference for a run-heavy approach keeps the clock moving, while Las Vegas’ inefficiency in the red zone often translates possessions into three points rather than sevens. With both defenses built to limit explosive plays, sustained drives will be necessary to push the total upward, and that hasn’t been a consistent strength for either offense. Even in the controlled dome environment, the underlying tendencies point to muted scoring.
From a betting perspective, the under carries stronger value than trusting either side of the spread. The Bears’ defensive structure forces opponents to string together long drives, while the Raiders have quietly minimized downfield shots, creating conditions for limited fireworks. Unless turnovers or special-teams plays flip the field, this contest is more likely to crawl than explode past the posted number.
This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 09/28/2025 at 9:00am
Chicago carries the matchup advantages that make siding with them reasonable whether on the moneyline or against a slim spread. Their quarterback offers the higher ceiling, while the defense has been effective at containing opposing ground games and forcing offenses into tougher passing situations. Las Vegas, meanwhile, hasn’t been able to translate possessions into efficient scoring, and their track record against the number after losses has been shaky. Even with the spread set near a pick’em, the Bears’ combination of playmaking and defensive reliability tips the balance their way.
From a betting perspective, laying the single point functions much like the moneyline but with slightly improved value. The risk of variance in a close game is real, but the handicap still favors Chicago as the sharper pick. Backing the Bears in this spot aligns with both matchup edges and recent betting trends, though the grade sits just a notch lower than the moneyline given the possibility of a one-point squeeze.
This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 09/28/2025 at 9:02am
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