NHL

Blackhawks vs Red Wings

Two Original Six foes line up—but only one meets our number.

Chicago Blackhawks

CHI (7-5-3) VS DET (9-6-0)

Nov 9, 2025 | 1:00 PM ET | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Detroit Red Wings
Moneyline Pick - Detroit Red Wings (-190): B

Detroit’s well-rounded form and home dominance make the favorite the more reliable side in this Original Six meeting. The Red Wings’ ability to control pace through possession and depth scoring continues to separate them from rebuilding teams like Chicago, and their top line’s chemistry gives them a clear offensive ceiling. Kane’s return adds another creative layer to a power play already trending upward, while Talbot’s strong home splits lend further stability against a Blackhawks attack that has struggled to sustain zone time. Chicago’s uncertainty at center and inconsistent special teams tilt additional value toward the hosts.

From a betting standpoint, this prediction hinges on structural consistency and home-ice execution. Detroit’s offensive efficiency, backed by a favorable goaltending matchup and stronger blue-line mobility, should overwhelm a Blackhawks group that remains reliant on short bursts from its young scorers. Even at -190, the probability edge aligns with recent form, justifying the chalk.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 6 (-110): B-

Both teams’ recent trends point squarely toward a low-event, defense-first matchup. Chicago’s renewed defensive focus has tightened its coverage and neutral-zone play, while Detroit’s brief power-play slump has cooled what was once one of the league’s more efficient home attacks. With each club leaning on strong goaltending—Talbot anchoring Detroit and a disciplined Hawks blue line protecting Spencer Knight—scoring bursts should be limited. Add in the early start time and short rest, and this setup lends itself to slower tempo, shorter shifts, and fewer premium looks from either side.

From a betting lens, this prediction aligns cleanly with pace suppression and efficiency metrics. Both clubs have leaned on goaltending stability and improved defensive reads to stay competitive, and situational fatigue only amplifies that undercurrent. Expect controlled possessions and limited rush opportunities to keep the total beneath the number in what profiles as a grind-it-out matinee.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

Puckline Pick - Chicago Blackhawks, +1.5 (-170): B

Recent history and stylistic tendencies suggest another close finish between these Original Six rivals, making the puckline the more sensible angle. Detroit’s wins often come by narrow margins, a reflection of its measured, possession-heavy approach and reliance on late-game execution rather than runaway scoring. Chicago’s consistent ability to stay competitive—backed by Knight’s improved positioning and the offensive spark provided by its young core—gives them a solid chance to remain inside the number. Even if the Red Wings dictate tempo, their preference for structure over aggression limits blowout potential.

From a betting perspective, this prediction prioritizes probability over payout. Chicago’s steady puckline record and offensive resilience make the +1.5 cushion appealing, especially against a Detroit squad that tends to grind out low-event victories. The visitors’ energy and goaltending form provide enough insulation for a one-goal game scenario, aligning with recent head-to-head outcomes.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

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