NHL

Blackhawks vs Stars

Stars’ firepower and Chicago’s missing stars collide deep in Texas.

Chicago Blackhawks

CHI (13-17-6) VS DAL (25-7-6)

December 27, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Dallas Stars
Moneyline Pick - Dallas Stars (-355): B
Dallas’ top offensive pieces — from Mikko Rantanen and Jason Robertson to Roope Hintz and Wyatt Johnston — are rolling into this one against a Chicago team stuck on a six-game skid and sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference despite solid goaltending from Spencer Knight. The Blackhawks are not only on a prolonged slide, they’re also without Connor Bedard for the rest of December because of a shoulder injury, and Frank Nazar is out roughly four weeks with a facial injury, leaving Chicago down its top two centers while still missing Nick Foligno or at least limiting his effectiveness, which severely dents an already thin attack. By contrast, Dallas is 25-7-6 with a +34 goal differential built on about 3.5 goals per game and top-of-the-league power-play production, and even with Tyler Seguin done long term with an ACL injury, their forward depth and blue-line core remain among the league’s deepest. With the Stars’ special teams edge, home-ice advantage at American Airlines Center, and a significant gap in 5-on-5 scoring and shot metrics, this price fairly reflects a matchup that leans heavily toward Dallas, though the return at -355 keeps it in solid-but-not-elite territory from a value standpoint, so the recommended play is Stars moneyline with a grade of B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:37
Over/Under Pick - Under 5.5 (100): B
With Chicago missing Bedard and Nazar, the Blackhawks’ offense has cratered to roughly a goal-and-a-half per game in his absence, and they now face a Stars team allowing around 2.6 goals per contest behind a tandem of Jake Oettinger and Casey DeSmith that has been top tier by both raw numbers and shot-quality metrics. Dallas still averages about 3.5 goals for per game, but their elite power play and structured five-on-five play often allow them to lock games down once they’re ahead, especially at home, and Chicago’s current roster leans far more defensive and low-event without its top play-driving centers. Recent form lines support a moderately scoring environment — Dallas coming off a 5-1 win over Toronto followed by a 4-3 OT loss in Detroit, and Chicago managing just nine goals over its last six games while riding that six-game losing streak — and the combination of a smothered Blackhawks attack, strong Stars goaltending, and the likelihood of Dallas throttling pace with a lead points to a scoreline in the 3-1 or 4-1 range rather than a track meet. That makes Under 5.5 at 100 a reasonable blend of probability and payout, earning a B grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:37
Puckline Pick - Dallas Stars, -1.5 (-140): B+
Given the combination of Dallas’ +34 goal differential, top-two offense, and a Chicago side that’s 13-17-6 with a negative goal differential and ravaged down the middle by injuries, the setup strongly favors the Stars turning a likely win into a multi-goal result. Chicago’s current version is built around Knight trying to hold the fort while secondary pieces like Tyler Bertuzzi, Ryan Donato, and Teuvo Teravainen shoulder more of the scoring load; those three have historically produced well against Dallas, but doing it without Bedard, Nazar, and with depth still compromised is a very different task against a Stars group whose power play sits above 30 percent and whose five-on-five team defense ranks among the league’s stingiest. Dallas, meanwhile, can roll four lines even without Seguin, with Rantanen and Robertson driving a top line that has been dissecting opponents and a supporting cast of Benn, Hintz, Johnston, Matt Duchene, and others that routinely tilts the ice, especially at home. With the Stars having won the majority of their recent victories by more than a goal and facing a Blackhawks team on a six-game slide and coming off repeated multi-goal defeats, laying -1.5 at -140 offers a significantly better risk-reward profile than the steep moneyline, so Stars -1.5 gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:37
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