MLB

Cubs vs Pirates

Expect Chicago to claw out a tight, low-scoring win.

Chicago Cubs

Cubs (85-64) VS Pirates (65-85)

16 Sep 2025 | 6:40 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (+105): B+

Chicago enters this matchup with momentum and a frontline starter who has consistently handled Pittsburgh’s lineup. Their offense brings more balance and depth, giving them multiple paths to scratch out support in what projects as a competitive divisional contest. The Pirates counter with a capable arm, but his recent struggles and the absence of key contributors both in the lineup and bullpen reduce their margin for error. With postseason positioning on the line for the Cubs, the urgency and roster strength lean their way even in a road setting.

From a betting perspective, this pick favors Chicago as the sharper side. The prediction is that their pitching edge and healthier lineup provide the stability needed to capitalize against a Pittsburgh team lacking late-inning security. A bet on the Cubs at plus money reflects both value and situational advantage.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 15/09/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 7 (-120): B

Both starters profile well for run suppression, with one relying on ground-ball efficiency and the other on limiting hard contact, creating a setup where crooked innings are tough to come by. Neither lineup has shown much home-run pop in recent weeks, and the absence of a key Pittsburgh bat further trims their offensive ceiling. Chicago’s bullpen has been especially sharp, while PNC Park’s dimensions and cooler conditions add another layer of scoring suppression. All told, the matchup points strongly toward a tight, low-scoring affair.

From a betting perspective, this pick favors the Under as the disciplined angle. The prediction is that effective starting pitching, quiet bats, and park factors will combine to keep the total under the posted number. A bet here aligns with both statistical profiles and recent trends, even at a juiced price.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 15/09/2025 at 9:02am

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, +1.5 (-205): B-

Chicago’s bullpen advantage and recent ability to thrive in one-run games give them a strong case for covering the extra run of insurance. Their starter has consistently neutralized divisional opponents, and with the offense showing steadier production than Pittsburgh’s depleted lineup, they’re well-positioned to control the flow. The Pirates’ lack of late-inning firepower without their closer and a limited offense increases the likelihood that Chicago either wins outright or keeps it tight into the final frames.

From a betting perspective, this pick leans toward Chicago with the +1.5 cushion as the safer angle. The prediction is that their pitching depth and playoff urgency make them reliable to cover, even if the game stays close. While the price is heavy, the insurance play aligns with form and context.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 15/09/2025 at 9:03am

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