MLB

Cubs vs Pirates Showdown in Steel City

Steel nerves, steel arms, and a razor-thin margin in Pittsburgh

Chicago Cubs

Cubs (84-64) VS Pirates (65-84)

15 Sep 2025 | 6:40 p.m. ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-135): A-

Chicago comes into this divisional matchup with momentum and a favorable setup on the mound, as their starter has consistently limited Pittsburgh in past meetings. With postseason positioning still in play, the Cubs carry added urgency against a Pirates team already eliminated from contention. Pittsburgh turns to a young arm who has shown flashes of potential but lacks the track record against a lineup capable of capitalizing on mistakes. That contrast in both motivation and experience tilts the edge toward Chicago, especially with the added benefit of reliable pitching history in this ballpark.

From a betting standpoint, this pick aligns with Chicago as the stronger side despite the road setting. The prediction favors the Cubs to maintain their current form and lean on their combination of proven pitching and lineup depth to handle a Pittsburgh team playing out the string. A bet on Chicago at the listed price reflects both matchup advantages and the urgency of their playoff chase.

This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 14/09/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8 (-105): B+

Both starters enter this matchup in excellent form, giving the game a strong chance to be dictated by pitching. With each carrying an ERA under 3.00 and recent offensive output muted for both sides, the ingredients are in place for a slower, low-scoring affair. Pittsburgh’s bullpen is still working without its closer, which suggests their rookie arm may be stretched deeper into the game, further controlling the pace. Cooler September conditions at PNC Park add another layer of run suppression, particularly for lineups already lacking consistent home-run production.

From a betting perspective, this pick points clearly toward the Under as the stronger angle. The prediction expects both starters to limit early opportunities while the setting and offensive profiles reduce the chance of sudden outbursts. A bet on the total staying below eight fits both the statistical outlook and the situational dynamics, making a pitchers’ duel the likeliest script.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 14/09/2025 at 9:03am

Spread Pick - Pittsburgh Pirates, +1.5 (-155): B

Chicago has often found itself in tight margins even when emerging victorious, and that trend holds weight against a divisional opponent with nothing to lose at home. Pittsburgh’s rookie starter has kept games within reach in most of his recent outings at PNC Park, and the offense has shown just enough to avoid being shut down completely. With both clubs leaning on strong starting pitching and neither lineup producing overwhelming power of late, this matchup shapes up as another contest decided on slim margins.

From a betting perspective, this pick leans toward the value of taking the extra run with Pittsburgh. The prediction points to a low-scoring, competitive game where either side could control the late innings without breaking the contest open. A bet on the Pirates to cover the run line aligns with both matchup history and the profile of these two starters keeping things tight from the outset.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 14/09/2025 at 9:04am

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