NHL

Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild

Expect the Wild to tame the scorched-out Flames.

Calgary Flames

CGY (4-10-2) VS MIN (6-7-3)

Nov 09, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul, MN

Minnesota Wild
Moneyline Pick - Minnesota Wild (-165): B

Minnesota’s balanced offense and defensive stability make the home favorite the sounder play in this spot. The Wild continue to generate consistent high-danger chances behind Kaprizov’s scoring instincts and Faber’s two-way reliability, and their ability to roll structured shifts at home should expose a Calgary group still searching for rhythm. The Flames’ scoring woes and injuries on the blue line leave them overly reliant on low-percentage shots, a tough formula against a disciplined Wild defense. With Minnesota’s top pair intact and its forward core healthy, the matchup favors sustained control and shot-volume advantage.

From a betting perspective, this prediction aligns with statistical form and roster stability. Minnesota’s goal differential and special-teams efficiency both trend positively, while Calgary’s ongoing offensive struggles and travel fatigue diminish upset potential. The modest home price reflects solid probability and fair value for a squad that rarely loses to this opponent at Xcel Energy Center.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 6 (-105): B-

Both clubs’ current trajectories point toward a slower, defense-oriented contest. Minnesota’s recent scoring restraint and Calgary’s chronic finishing struggles create a clear ceiling on total production, especially with both sides grinding through dense schedule fatigue. The Wild’s top defensive pair continues to anchor a system that limits slot chances, while Gustavsson’s steady form reinforces their ability to control pace. On the other end, Wolf’s solid track record versus Minnesota and the Flames’ blue-line injuries all but guarantee a conservative approach focused on damage control rather than push tempo.

From a betting perspective, the Under aligns neatly with form and context. Neither team has shown reliable multi-line scoring depth, and both coaches will likely lean into structure to compensate for travel wear. Factor in efficient goaltending on both sides and the odds of a low-scoring, possession-heavy affair grow stronger, making the Under the sounder position.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

Puckline Pick - Minnesota Wild, -1.5 (-158): B+

Minnesota’s offensive balance and Calgary’s depleted blue line set up a favorable scenario for a multi-goal result. The Wild’s top-six can dictate pace through sustained forecheck pressure and layered shot creation, and with the Flames missing key defenders, clearing the defensive zone efficiently becomes a tall order. Minnesota’s recent puckline success at home mirrors its ability to convert early momentum into late-game separation, particularly when Gustavsson locks down the crease. Calgary’s sputtering special teams and lack of comeback potency only heighten the potential for another two-plus-goal margin.

From a betting standpoint, this prediction rests on possession metrics and situational efficiency. The Wild’s consistent zone time and top-tier finishing rate at home align with Calgary’s tendency to unravel once chasing. Even if the game stays tight into the third, the combination of forechecking pressure and an empty-net scenario offers strong cover potential. Given form, matchup, and statistical trends, the puckline play fits.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks