Flames vs Hurricanes

The current form tilt is clear: Calgary has won four of its last five but is still just 9-14-3 overall and last in the NHL at 2.42 goals per game with a 13.5% power play, while Carolina sits 15-7-2, just snapped a two-game slide with a dominant 5-1 win over Winnipeg, and continues a cushy seven-game homestand. Both sides have injury issues, but the Hurricanes’ absences (Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Charles-Alexis Legault on IR, Pyotr Kochetkov unlikely, Jaccob Slavin still out, and Jordan Staal just returning from illness) are mitigated by their depth down the middle and on the blue line, whereas Calgary’s thinner roster is missing young winger Samuel Honzek and prospect defensemen Zayne Parekh and Henry Mews. Frederik Andersen’s career 12-3-2 record against the Flames and Sebastian Aho’s 14 career points in 16 games versus Calgary, including this March’s OT winner in Raleigh, underline how often Carolina has controlled this matchup, and the Hurricanes’ current scoring spine of Aho, a red-hot Seth Jarvis, Andrei Svechnikov, and an elite puck-mover in Shayne Gostisbehere should consistently exploit a Flames team that still struggles to finish despite Rasmus Andersson’s surge and better goaltending from Devin Cooley on this road trip. With Calgary playing its fourth road game in eight days and Carolina’s five-on-five shot share and special-teams profile both clearly superior, the Hurricanes deserve to be heavy favorites; however, the -250 price trims value enough that this recommendation gets an A- instead of a full A. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/11/2025 09:27am

Even though Calgary’s season-long scoring number is ugly, their recent game log on this road swing — 6-2 win in Buffalo, 3-2 shootout win over Dallas, 5-2 win in Vancouver, 5-1 loss in Tampa, and 5-3 win in Florida — shows both their offense waking up and their defense/goaltending still prone to leaks, while Carolina’s last four have landed on 5, 5, 6, and 6 total goals with a 5-1 statement over Winnipeg highlighting what this forward group can do at home. With Kochetkov sidelined, the Hurricanes have been alternating an 0-3-2 Andersen and a 6-1 Brandon Bussi; if it is Andersen’s turn, his recent form increases the chances Calgary chips in a couple despite its anemic power play, and if Rod Brind’Amour instead rides Bussi again on short rest, the pace Carolina generates with Aho, Jarvis, Svechnikov and an attack-minded blue line still points toward high shot volume and power-play time against a Flames penalty kill under strain from extended road minutes. Historical matchup data adds another nudge toward offense — Aho has produced consistently versus Calgary, and Nazem Kadri, while historically underwater in plus-minus against Carolina, is coming off a multi-point night in Florida — and with both teams entering on short rest from Friday wins, defensive details typically slip before offensive pace does. With a flat 6 and standard -110 juice each way, the Over 6 gets a B grade: there’s solid logic and recent evidence for a 4-2 or 5-2 type Carolina win with push protection at exactly six, but Calgary’s season-long finishing woes keep this short of premium. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/11/2025 09:27am

Carolina has shown a strong tendency to win by margin at home — witness recent multi-goal victories like 5-1 over the Jets, 6-3 over Buffalo, and 4-3 or 3-1 results where they drove play and could easily have stretched the gap — and their underlying edge in five-on-five possession plus special teams sets up well against a Calgary group still dead last in goals per game despite a 4-1 run that features several scorelines inflated by defensive lapses on both sides. On the health front, the Hurricanes’ blue line is nicked up (no Slavin or Legault, depth pieces rotating in) and they’re missing Kotkaniemi, but Jarvis’ heater, Aho’s proven history against Calgary, and Svechnikov’s play-driving from the wing help them overwhelm a Flames top six that leans heavily on Kadri, Jonathan Huberdeau, and Rasmus Andersson for offense; if Carolina gets to three or four, Calgary’s weak power play and reliance on either a still-learning Dustin Wolf or a hot-but-due-for-regression Cooley make it more likely the visitors fade late than storm back. Calgary’s recent success and Cooley’s strong save percentage inject some risk — and the -1.5 at -105 means you’re paying a bit of vig for the extra goal requirement — so this is more of a moderate-confidence, higher-variance angle than the moneyline, landing at a B- grade that leans into Carolina’s ability to front-run at home but acknowledges the Flames’ improved form. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/11/2025 09:27am