Bruins vs Jets

Boston has quietly stacked three straight wins, including a convincing 5-2 road victory in St. Louis, while Winnipeg has dropped eight of its last ten and is still leaning on Eric Comrie with Connor Hellebuyck on injured reserve, a major downgrade in net compared with Jeremy Swayman’s steadier play. Even with Charlie McAvoy and multiple depth defensemen sidelined for the Bruins, their top nine looks rejuvenated with Pastrnak back, and the power play is positioned to punish a Jets penalty kill that has been bleeding goals over the last stretch. Winnipeg’s home-ice edge and the memory of last season’s lopsided wins over Boston—when Mark Scheifele and Kyle Connor torched the Bruins—are already baked into this price, but the current form and goalie situation now tilt this matchup closer to a pick’em than the market suggests. Taking the Bruins at +130 captures that edge, and I’d grade this as a B+ pick: solid value with a meaningful underdog payout, though not elite given Boston’s blue-line injuries and the Jets’ underlying ability to generate offense. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:53

The total hinges on whether Boston’s recent offensive surge and Winnipeg’s leaky special teams can overcome two goalies who are capable of stealing a night, and the trends say yes: the Bruins have put up 5, 4, and 5 goals in their last three wins, while the Jets are trading chances in games that regularly push into the six-plus goal range, including a 4-3 loss to Dallas where they outshot the Stars heavily. With McAvoy and several Bruins depth defenders still out, Boston is more vulnerable in its own zone, and Winnipeg’s core of Scheifele, Kyle Connor, and Gabriel Vilardi has already shown it can finish against this opponent, as last season’s 6-2 meeting reminded everyone. On the other side, a red-hot Bruins power play gets to attack a Jets penalty kill that has struggled for weeks, and Comrie is a clear step down from a fully healthy Hellebuyck, further nudging the scoring expectation upward. At 5.5 with the Over juiced to -130, the value is decent but not spectacular—enough for a B grade given a strong likelihood of at least six goals, but with the price limiting the long-term edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:53

Given Boston’s three-game heater, Winnipeg’s 2-7-1 slide, and the Jets’ reliance on Comrie while Hellebuyck works back from knee surgery, this matchup profiles more like a tight one-goal game than the blowouts Winnipeg put on the Bruins last season, making the +1.5 puckline on Boston a high-probability but expensive angle. The Bruins have been living in that one- and two-goal band lately, with Swayman keeping them in control even when they’re outshot, and their deeper forward group—now boasting a reloaded Pastrnak-driven unit plus emerging secondary scorers like Fraser Minten and Mark Kastelic—gives them multiple lines that can trade chances with Scheifele’s group without collapsing. Winnipeg still owns real finishing talent and home-ice advantage, so a Jets win by exactly one remains a very live outcome, which aligns well with backing Boston +1.5 but makes laying -205 tough on bankroll efficiency. I’d grade this puckline as a B-: strong likelihood of cashing, yet the steep price and the memory of how badly the Jets have punished Boston when they get rolling keep it shy of premium status. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:53