Celtics vs Wizards

Boston’s depth should still be enough on the moneyline given their three-game win streak, 4-1 run over the last five, and nine straight wins over Washington, even with Jayson Tatum out long term and Jaylen Brown doubtful with illness. With Derrick White, Anfernee Simons and a big-body rotation led by Neemias Queta rolling into a Wizards team that’s dropped 16 of its last 18 and just got blown out again on Tuesday, the combination of Boston’s top-10 defense and Washington’s league-worst 127 points allowed per night makes a straight-up upset feel like a low-percentage outcome despite the Wizards being at home. Factor in that Washington is missing multiple rotation pieces (Bilal Coulibaly, Alex Sarr, Corey Kispert and others), and Celtics -400 is a high-confidence but low-value play that earns only a B grade because of the heavy juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/12/2025 09:48am

Washington’s pace and defensive issues point me slightly to the Over 227.5 despite Boston’s injury concerns, as the Wizards have been involved in track meets all year, with their games averaging well over 230 points and featuring repeated blowout losses where their defense completely collapses. Even with Tatum out and Brown likely sidelined, Boston’s offense has stayed in the mid-teens in scoring behind Simons, White and a spread pick-and-roll attack, and these teams already combined for 243 points (136-107 Celtics) in their first meeting when Alex Sarr dropped 31 in a losing effort. With Washington still leaning on CJ McCollum, Khris Middleton and young scorers like Kyshawn George while missing several key defenders and bigs, and both sides coming in off high-scoring recent games, I’ll grade Over 227.5 at B-: decent value in a volatile scoring environment where late garbage-time points are very live. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/12/2025 09:48am

Derrick White and Anfernee Simons get a favorable matchup to cover -9 on the road against a Wizards team that has gone just 6-14 ATS, owns the worst defensive efficiency profile in this matchup, and is missing key rotation pieces like Coulibaly, Sarr and Kispert on top of being 3-17 overall. Boston has covered five straight spreads and already crushed Washington by 29 in the first meeting, with Brown dropping 35 and the Celtics’ size and physicality on the glass overwhelming the Wizards’ front line; even with Brown likely out, Boston’s recent form and defensive ceiling contrast sharply with a Wizards side that has lost 10 of its last 11 and struggles to stay competitive for four quarters. Given the combination of current streaks, injury gaps heavily favoring Boston, and recent head-to-head dominance both overall and in Washington, laying the -9 at near-standard juice earns a B+ grade for blending solid win probability with better value than the moneyline. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/12/2025 09:48am