Bruins vs Islanders

The New York Islanders come into this one riding a 7-2-0 heater in their last nine and an 8-win November, while the Bruins have cooled off, dropping four of six since their seven-game roll and arriving in Elmont at the end of a 1-2-0 West Coast road swing. Boston’s active roster is thinned down the spine and on the back end with Charlie McAvoy, Casey Mittelstadt and Viktor Arvidsson all on injured reserve, which matters against an Isles group whose top six is intact outside of Jean-Gabriel Pageau and Alexander Romanov but still getting heavy two-way minutes from Bo Horvat, Mathew Barzal and Anders Lee. The season series has leaned Boston (5-2 win at TD Garden and a 4-3 shootout win here earlier this month), yet Sorokin’s track record against the Bruins and Horvat’s 20-plus career points versus Boston balance that out when you factor in how structured the Isles have been defensively at UBS on this homestand. With the Islanders owning one of the league’s better penalty kills and the Bruins leaning heavily on a top-five power play to drive offense, the matchup tilts toward New York at even strength, especially given Boston’s 3.50 goals against per game on the road. At -165 the price is a bit rich but still playable given form, injuries and home-ice situational edge, so the Isles moneyline gets a solid B for likelihood with only modest value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:35am

Totals players have to reconcile Boston’s potent road power play with the fact that both teams are trending toward tighter, low-event hockey, especially New York, whose penalty kill has been running north of 90 percent over the last few weeks and just authored a 1-0 shootout win over Seattle after a 2-1 grinder against St. Louis. The Bruins still profile as more offensive than last year, but with Mittelstadt and Arvidsson shelved and a banged-up blue line missing McAvoy, they’ve been more reliant on single-line bursts from Morgan Geekie and David Pastrnak than on wave-after-wave pressure, and that’s tough to sustain at the tail end of a four-game road trip. On the other side, the Islanders’ power play has been near the bottom of the league and now has to function without Romanov and Pageau, two important puck-retrieval and net-front pieces, which has pushed them toward a more conservative five-on-five template even while Horvat continues to score. Recent head-to-head meetings have landed on both sides of this number (a 5-2 Bruins win and a 4-3 shootout game), but current form points more toward Sorokin (or Rittich if he gets the nod) and Jeremy Swayman/Korpisalo trading saves in a structured game rather than a track meet. With both defensive units more trustworthy than the Islanders’ anemic power play and some travel fatigue on Boston’s side, the Under 6 at -110 grades out as a B+, combining a strong probability edge with a fair price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:35am

Even while leaning Islanders on the moneyline, the sharper puckline angle runs through Boston catching +1.5, as the Bruins are 7-5 in one-goal decisions and the Islanders’ recent surge has featured a string of tight, low-scoring contests rather than blowouts. New York’s forward group is fully capable of tilting the ice, but losing Romanov and Pageau strips some of the physical edge and matchup flexibility that often turns UBS Arena games into runaway third periods, and it forces Patrick Roy to lean harder on younger depth like Calum Ritchie and Emil Heineman. Boston, despite missing key pieces like McAvoy, Mittelstadt and Arvidsson, still dresses a top unit centered around Pastrnak—who has three points in two games against the Isles this season and more than a point per game versus them over his career—and solid goaltending in Swayman, who owns sterling career numbers in limited work against New York. The Isles’ offense has also been somewhat streaky, leaning heavily on Horvat’s finishing and a suddenly hot Maxim Shabanov, which makes it harder to trust them to clear the -1.5 when their power play sits near the bottom of the league and they’re winning more via structure, saves and PK than offensive avalanches. With the market shading toward a close home favorite win and both teams still sub-25 games into the season (so no desperate, pull-the-goalie-early playoff urgency), Bruins +1.5 at -190 earns a B: expensive juice but a high probability of cashing in what profiles as another one-goal game. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:35am