Bruins vs Oilers

Boston rolls into Edmonton on a six-game winless streak (0-4-2) and has dropped eight of its last ten, while the Oilers have steadied at 20-14-6 after winning three of their last four and climbing to first in the Pacific, giving the situational edge squarely to the home side. With Tanner Jeannot day-to-day and Henri Jokiharju on IR, Boston’s already-average blue line is thinner than the roster sheet suggests, whereas Edmonton’s injuries (Tristan Jarry, Jake Walman, Connor Clattenburg, Kasperi Kapanen) mostly hit depth pieces rather than their primary drivers. McDavid’s track record against the Bruins is elite—24 points in 16 career games including a two-point night in the 3-1 win in Boston on December 18—and Draisaitl has burned them in key spots as well, while this retooled Bruins core now leans almost entirely on David Pastrnak and a hot streak from Morgan Geekie to keep up offensively. Edmonton is the more efficient attack (135 goals in 40 games vs Boston’s 122) with comparable goaltending and slightly better defensive numbers, and they’re protecting a divisional lead at home against an Atlantic team sitting sixth and trying to stop the bleeding on a long road trip. At -195, you’re paying a premium—roughly a two-thirds implied win probability—but I still project Edmonton a bit shorter than that given current form and matchup history, so I like the Oilers on the moneyline with a B+ grade: a strong but not “all-in” edge where a $195 stake returns $100 profit. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:36

Both teams are playing wide-open hockey right now, with Boston allowing 27 goals over its six-game skid and Edmonton averaging 3.38 goals per game against 3.25 against, which puts an expected baseline right around this 6.5 total before you even factor in McDavid’s current tear and the Oilers’ high-end power play. Jeremy Swayman and Joonas Korpisalo have combined for a 3.28 team GAA, while the Oilers’ goaltending group sits at 3.25, so neither side is bailing out defensive lapses with elite numbers this season, and Boston’s banged-up defense (Jokiharju on IR, Jeannot not at full power on the forecheck) is a bad fit against an Edmonton top six that already exposed them in the 3-1 meeting in Boston and has been piling up multi-goal nights at Rogers Place. Recent results support a higher-variance script: Bruins games have cleared six goals in four of their last six, and Oilers contests have featured repeated seven-plus goal totals as they trade rush chances, with McDavid and Draisaitl consistently driving offense even when the team loses. With both clubs hovering around .500 at the 40-game mark and Edmonton motivated to create separation atop the Pacific, I’m expecting an aggressive approach rather than a tight-checking grind, making Over 6.5 at +100 a solid B-grade play—decent value at even money, but still high-variance enough that you shouldn’t stake it as heavily as the side. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:36

Given how Boston has been losing, the Oilers’ puckline is live: four of the Bruins’ six recent losses have come by at least two goals, including 6-2 and 4-1 defeats, and now they’re facing an Edmonton team that has turned several recent home wins into multi-goal decisions behind a top-heavy but dominant core. Even with Jarry sidelined, the Oilers’ current trio (Skinner, Pickard, Ingram) has stabilized enough to support an offense where McDavid (69 points through 40 games) and Draisaitl drive play, and their historical success versus Boston—including McDavid’s point-per-game-plus record and Draisaitl’s prior OT heroics—raises the likelihood that if Edmonton wins, it often comes with some margin, especially once the Bruins start chasing in the third and open themselves up to rush chances and empty-netters. Boston’s attack outside Pastrnak and Geekie remains inconsistent, and the depth injuries on the back end make it harder to nurse a one-goal deficit on the road against a Pacific leader pushing to bank points before the stretch run, which tilts the distribution a bit further toward multi-goal Oilers wins than the market suggests. At around +130, you’re trading win probability for a much better payout than the moneyline—$100 returns $130 profit—so I grade the Edmonton -1.5 puckline a B: a worthwhile, higher-risk/high-reward supplement to an Oilers moneyline position rather than a standalone core play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/12/2025 09:36