NBA

Hawks vs Pistons

Pistons poised to prevail, but expect points and a close cover.

Atlanta Hawks

Hawks (14-11) VS Pistons (19-5)

December 12, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Detroit Pistons
Moneyline Pick - Detroit Pistons (-285): A-
Detroit’s Cade Cunningham and the Pistons roll into this one on a two-game winning streak and a 17-3 surge over their last 20, while Atlanta has been treading water at 5-5 in its past 10 despite just snapping a three-game skid. With Trae Young, Kristaps Porzingis, N’Faly Dante and Jacob Toppin all ruled out, the Hawks are stretched thin and forced to lean heavily on Jalen Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu against a Pistons group that’s 10-1 at home, dominates the glass with Jalen Duren and has been one of the league’s best clutch teams. Cunningham already closed out Atlanta in their recent one‑point meeting and, backed by Detroit’s size, rebounding and late-game free-throw edge, gives the Pistons clear control variables even if the Hawks compete. At -285, the moneyline is juicy and better suited as a confident anchor in straights or parlays than a pure value dart, but the combination of form, health and matchup history earns this play an A- grade on likelihood with modest standalone monetary upside. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 09:40([sports.iheart.com](https://sports.iheart.com/content/2025-12-12-pistons-vs-hawks-time-tv-stream-dec-12/))
Over/Under Pick - Over 233.5 (-110): B
Atlanta’s up-tempo, offense-heavy profile and Detroit’s efficient young core both sit around 118 points per night, with Hawks games going over the number in 10 of their last 14 and recent Pistons–Hawks meetings skewing high-scoring despite the occasional grinder. Even with Young, Porzingis and Dante sidelined, Jalen Johnson and Nickeil Alexander-Walker keep the Hawks’ pace and ball movement lively, while Cunningham’s massive usage, Duren’s elite offensive rebounding and Detroit’s high free-throw volume add extra possessions and clock-stopping scoring that prop totals up. The Pistons’ strong shooting and rebounding, combined with Atlanta’s undersized front line and inconsistent defense, should compensate for any efficiency dip from the shorthanded Hawks and still produce extended runs on both sides. With the number at 233.5 and -110 each way, there’s enough scoring environment and trend support to justify Over 233.5 as a B-grade wager—solid value with real variance in either direction, but a worthwhile risk for standard juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 09:40([sports.iheart.com](https://sports.iheart.com/content/2025-12-12-pistons-vs-hawks-time-tv-stream-dec-12/))
Spread Pick - Atlanta Hawks, +7 (-110): B+
Atlanta’s Jalen Johnson has quietly turned the Hawks into a road covering machine even without Trae Young, fueling a 5-1 ATS run, an 8-2 ATS mark in their last 10 away from home and a remarkable 5-0 ATS streak in their past five visits to Detroit, where the Pistons have been winning but rarely by margin. Detroit’s 17-3 straight-up heater and 10-1 home record, powered by Cunningham’s late-game shotmaking and Duren’s control of the glass, are offset against the spread by a 1-7 ATS slide overall and 0-5 ATS mark at home versus Atlanta as their physical, FTA-heavy style tends to close games out rather than blow teams away. Even with Young, Porzingis and key depth pieces out, the Hawks’ pace, three-point volume and versatility around Johnson and Onyeka Okongwu already forced a 99-98 nail-biter in this building, suggesting they can again hang inside two or three possessions. Catching a full +7 at -110 gives meaningful cushion against Detroit’s superior talent and home court while still allowing for a Pistons win, making Hawks +7 a B+ play on value and likelihood of a competitive finish. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 09:40([tonyspicks.com](https://www.tonyspicks.com/2025/12/12/atlanta-hawks-vs-detroit-pistons-prediction-12-12-25-nba-picks/))
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