Cardinals vs Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield’s shoulder situation and Tampa Bay’s three-game losing streak add some volatility here, but with the Buccaneers still 6-5 and clinging to the NFC South race at home against a 3-8 Cardinals team that has also dropped three straight, the spot still tilts toward the home side. Jacoby Brissett has been on a tear for Arizona over the last month, pushing the ball aggressively to Trey McBride and Michael Wilson, yet he’s doing it behind a battered offensive line and a backfield that’s been rotating through injuries, which raises turnover and protection concerns on a long trip to humid afternoon conditions in Tampa. On the other side, even if Mayfield is limited or Teddy Bridgewater is forced to start, Tampa’s offensive core of Emeka Egbuka, Rachaad White and veteran field general Lavonte David on defense is intact, and the Bucs have generally taken care of business at Raymond James when favored this season, especially against non-elite defenses. With both defenses allowing around four touchdowns per game recently and the Bucs’ pass rush still capable of creating short fields, I’m grading Tampa Bay on the moneyline as a solid but not elite value play at this price: pick Buccaneers -154, Grade B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/11/2025 11:43am

Arizona and Tampa Bay profile as an over-friendly pairing at 44, with both offenses averaging in the low-20s in points per game while their defenses are giving up roughly the same range, and the over already cashing in the majority of each team’s contests this season. Jacoby Brissett’s recent surge in passing volume and yardage, combined with Trey McBride’s elite production and Arizona’s tendency to play catch-up, naturally stretches games, while Tampa Bay’s home contests have skewed high-scoring thanks to explosive plays from Emeka Egbuka and Rachaad White and a defense that has sprung leaks, especially with injuries up front and in the secondary. Warm, mostly dry Florida conditions on an outdoor fast track should further favor offensive efficiency and downfield passing, even if Mayfield’s shoulder nudges the Bucs toward a slightly more balanced, White-centric approach that still sustains drives. With both teams on losing skids and needing a statement performance, aggression on fourth downs and in the red zone should boost scoring chances, so I lean to Over 44 at -106, Grade B+. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/11/2025 11:43am

Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals have quietly been punching above their 3-8 record, staying competitive even in losses, and that recent passing heater makes Arizona attractive catching a field goal against a Buccaneers team that has dropped three straight by multiple scores and is dealing with key injuries to Baker Mayfield and top weapons like Mike Evans. Tampa Bay still has a defensive anchor in Lavonte David and a playoff edge as a 6-5 division contender at home, but the pass defense has been vulnerable, and Arizona’s trio of McBride, Wilson and whichever back is healthiest (likely Zonovan “Bam” Knight and Michael Carter) matches up well against a banged-up secondary that can yield chunk plays. Factor in that warm, late-November Tampa conditions should help Arizona’s speed on offense, while the Cards’ own defensive front, led by Josh Sweat, is capable of disrupting a Buccaneers line that just saw its quarterback knocked out of last week’s game, and this shapes up as a spot where Tampa can still eke out a win but has a real chance to be dragged into a one-score, last-possession finish. I’ll take the points with Arizona Cardinals +3 at -118, Grade B-. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/11/2025 11:43am