Ducks vs Islanders

The Islanders’ recent 4-1-0 surge and Ilya Sorokin’s heater at UBS Arena make them a worthy favorite on paper, but Anaheim at +110 looks like the better moneyline value in what profiles as a coin-flip game between two hot teams. The Ducks roll in on a three-game win streak and a 6-4-0 mark over their last 10, powered by one of the league’s most dangerous attacks at roughly 3.6 goals per night, with Leo Carlsson and Troy Terry driving the top six and Lukas Dostal stabilizing the crease. New York counters with Horvat and Mathew Barzal up front and Sorokin in elite form, but they’re still absorbing major depth hits with Alexander Romanov out long term on the blue line, Semyon Varlamov sidelined, and Kyle Palmieri’s knee injury thinning the forward group even if Jean-Gabriel Pageau’s recent return helps. Anaheim also swept last season’s series, including a 4-1 win in March where Mason McTavish and Dostal starred, and with both sides living in tight one-goal territory, grabbing the healthier, higher-scoring team at plus money is attractive even against Sorokin on home ice; that combination of edge and price earns the Ducks moneyline a B+ grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:31am

Despite Anaheim’s offensive ceiling, the matchup leans Under 6.5 at -115 because of the way the Islanders are grinding out results and how Sorokin is dictating tempo right now. Over their last 10, New York games are averaging around four total goals with the Isles scoring just over two and allowing barely more than two, while riding a league-best penalty kill stretch and a goaltender who was just recognized among the league’s weekly stars; that defensive structure tends to drag opponents into low-event nights at UBS. The Ducks certainly bring danger—top-tier goals per game, dangerous young finishers like Carlsson, and a power play that can punish—but they’re also coming off a heavy stretch and a long trip east, and Dostal has already shown he can suffocate this Isles lineup after a 31-save, 4-1 win in their last meeting. With New York’s forward group still missing Palmieri and nursing day-to-day concerns like Jonathan Drouin, and with both teams’ recent form pointing to tight margins rather than track meets, a 3-2 or 4-2 type scoreline feels more likely than a full touchdown on the total, making Under 6.5 a solid but not elite B-grade position. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:31am

Given how often the Islanders play one-goal games and how well Anaheim is traveling, the Ducks +1.5 at -235 on the puckline profiles as a high-probability but lower-value angle that still earns a B- grade. New York is an impressive 8-2 in one-goal decisions, a reflection of Sorokin’s ability to keep scores tight as their injured forward group grinds out just enough offense, while the Ducks arrive having won four of their last five and rarely getting blown out outside of a single clunker during this recent stretch. Anaheim’s depth scoring—McTavish, Carlsson, Terry, Frank Vatrano gutting through a fresh facial injury, and even secondary names like Sam Colangelo who hurt the Isles last season—matches up well against an Islanders blue line missing Romanov and leaning heavily on Ryan Pulock and Adam Pelech, which should keep this within a goal even if the home side edges it. The juice at -235 limits the monetary upside compared with the moneyline, but with two strong goaltending options for Anaheim and both teams in early-season playoff position in tightly packed divisions, the most likely script is another tight, defensive-minded clash where the underdog stays inside the number. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:31am