NHL
Ducks vs Oilers
Connor McDavid’s push meets a surging Ducks squad hungry to steal points in Edmonton.

Anaheim Ducks
ANA (41-27-4) VS EDM (36-28-9)
March 28, 2026 | 3:30 PM ET | Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB

Edmonton Oilers

Moneyline Pick - Anaheim Ducks (126): B+
Connor McDavid and the Oilers have steadied with two straight wins but are just 3-2 in their last five, while the Ducks roll in even hotter on a four-game win streak with points in five straight and the confidence of having already staged a 6-5 comeback against Edmonton this month. Edmonton’s center depth is badly thinned with Leon Draisaitl and several middle-six pivots out, leaving McDavid to shoulder even more usage, whereas Anaheim’s injury issues are mostly further down the lineup and around a backup goaltender rather than their primary scoring core. In those prior meetings, the Ducks’ young spine of Leo Carlsson, Cutter Gauthier and their mobile blue line caused problems off the rush and in transition, and Anaheim’s recent defensive tightening plus capable goaltending from Lukas Dostal match up reasonably well with an Oilers attack that now leans almost entirely on its top unit and a lethal power play. With just five points separating them in the Pacific and both clubs well past the 41-game mark, this shapes up as a high-leverage four-point swing where Anaheim’s current form and relative health offset Edmonton’s home ice and star power. At a price of 126 versus laying 140 with a banged-up favorite, the road side offers the better blend of win probability and return, so the pick is the Ducks to edge another close one, graded a B+ given solid value but clear respect for McDavid’s game-breaking ceiling. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/03/2026 09:25
Over/Under Pick - Over 7, (109): B
Recent form points strongly toward offense on both sides, with Anaheim’s four-game win streak featuring multiple outings of five or more goals scored and Edmonton’s last five producing three games where they put up at least four, so neither team has been leaning on lockdown defense heading into this one. The Oilers are missing Draisaitl and several other centers, which trims some secondary finishing but also concentrates ice time onto McDavid’s line and a first power-play unit that remains among the league’s most dangerous, while Anaheim’s injuries hit depth forwards and a backup goalie more than their primary scoring threats. Across the two meetings this season, these teams have already combined for 11 and 12 goals, and the matchup still looks like a clash of speed and skill — Gauthier, Carlsson and Troy Terry driving Anaheim’s attack against McDavid, Zach Hyman and Evan Bouchard orchestrating Edmonton’s man advantage — rather than a grind-it-out checking battle. With both clubs firmly in the playoff race and separated by only a few points, coaching tendencies late in the year usually favor riding top lines and top power-play units heavily, which tends to support a faster pace and more special-teams chances rather than a low-event script. Given that backdrop, taking Over 7 at 109 leans into the established high-scoring pattern while accepting that the number is high enough to warrant only a B grade, with some risk that a playoff-style tightening turns a shootout expectation into a push or narrow miss. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/03/2026 09:25
Puckline Pick - Anaheim Ducks, +1.5 (195): A-
The Ducks’ current surge has come with plenty of tight finishes — including an overtime win in Calgary and a one-goal escape against Buffalo — and the Oilers’ recent 3-2 stretch shows more close contests than blowouts, which both argue for this matchup landing within a single goal either way. Edmonton’s rash of injuries down the middle, highlighted by Draisaitl being sidelined, makes it harder for them to consistently pull away by multiple goals because they can’t roll the same dangerous depth they’ve had in healthier seasons, while Anaheim’s ailments are largely to depth pieces and a goalie already on injured reserve, leaving most of their core intact. In the head-to-head sample this year, we’ve already seen one-goal drama and a Ducks comeback that erased a multi-goal Oilers lead, underscoring how fragile Edmonton’s margin can be once Anaheim’s skill forwards start turning games into track meets. Add in the playoff implications — with the Ducks slightly ahead in the Pacific and the Oilers desperate to close the gap but unlikely to sit back if they get a lead — and the stage is set for pulled-goalie chaos late and another game where the underdog is live while still highly likely to stay inside the number. Laying the heavy price at 195 isn’t cheap, but the combination of Anaheim’s form, Edmonton’s injuries and the teams’ prior tight meetings makes Ducks +1.5 worthy of an A- grade on probability, even if the payout is modest compared to the Moneyline. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/03/2026 09:25
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